Foresight and Scenario Planning Methodologies

Webinar: February 5, 2020ILeadership for Managing Reforms

Foresight informs the thinking that occurs before strategic decisions are made by expanding the perceptions on the strategic options or choices available to the organization. Traditionally, in the public financial management realm, quantitative foresight methods, such as forecasting, are commonly used. This webinar will illustrate new methods and tools for planning social changes, including structural reforms. It will explore the usefulness and applicability of foresight methodologies to organizational decision-making.

How will you benefit?

When a government is considering a planning process that will have implications for 5, 10, or 20 years within one or across multiple policy domains, often they will employ some combination of foresight methodologies – such as scenarios and backcasting – to inform the planning process. These tools are growing in importance as emerging and complex challenges such as sustainable development and circular economy are sweeping the domestic and international policy agenda.

Knowing how and when to use select foresight tools allows policy officials to develop holistic understandings of complex and multi-level challenges through time and space, deepen the rigor of existing schemes, develop collaborations within and across sectors and provide new opportunities to both innovate and integrate policy. Foresight planning processes are often participatory by design – they engage key stakeholders representing the broader system, in order to collectively identify long-term issues and foster synergies through strategic planning.

  • Gain an overview of both well-established and cutting-edge foresight tools
  • Gain actionable knowledge for implementing foresight in strategic planning
  • Co-determine challenges discussed in an interactive webinar format

What will you learn?

The webinar will introduce key foresight toolsets used by governments and multi-stakeholder coalitions to develop actionable scenarios and pathways for structural and policy reform. The purposes of these tools include gathering intelligence about the future, exploring dynamics of change, describing potential futures and developing and testing policy. Emphasis will be on foresight for sustainable development and on design questions that policy officials need to consider when introducing foresight tools into a reform process. An interactive exercise will allow your challenges and solutions to be discussed and mapped onto a scenario pathway.

Beforehand, we kindly invite you to take the survey we have prepared for you through the link, to co-create with us the content of this webinar. Your input is highly appreciated and crucial for an interactive webinar. It will not take you more than 10 minutes.


  • Key concepts and methodologies in foresight
  • Advanced and cutting-edge foresight methods
  • Implementation possibilities with case examples
  • Collaborative strategic foresight exercise
  • Collecting action points and discussion

Who should attend?

The webinar is primarily targeting public officials engaged in strategic planning in public sector, including structural reforms.

Public officials at senior or mid-level positions in line ministries, government agencies, ministries of finance and other government institutions are the prime target audience of this learning initiative and are encouraged to register.

It is also open to all interested in contemporary approaches and tools for planning social changes.

Practical information

When: February 05, 2020 from 10:00 until 11:30 CEST.

Where: From the convenience of your own computer, tablet or smartphone; you are encouraged to jointly connect with your colleagues.

How: You need to install the WebEX plugin to your device. This will take only a few minutes but may require informing your system administrator. For detailed technical information please read the Guidelines on how to attend a webinar before the webinar starts.

Participation is free of charge.

Language: English

To register for this webinar click the “Apply now’’ button on the right-hand side. You will be redirected to the CEF Online Learning Campus, where you need to click the “Enroll’’ button under the title of this webinar.


Rok Kranjc

Rok Kranjc (MSc) is director of FuturesCraft, a Ljubljana-based business that focuses on sustainabuility transition design and management, circular economy and participatory futures methods. He is regional (EU) editor of Journal of Futures Studies and is a member of the Standing Committee on Climate Politics, initiated by the President of the Republic of Slovenia. He has facilitated numerous foresight and strategic planning processes with a variety of stakeholders, including young business innovators and local governments.

Jose Ramos (tbc)

Dr Jose Ramos is director of Action Foresight, a Melbourne-based business that focuses on bridging transformational futures with present-day action. He has taught foresight, public policy and social innovation at a number of universities, including at the Lee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, Swinburne University of Technology, and the University of Sunshine Coast. He is senior consulting editor for the Journal of Future Studies, and has over 50 publications spanning economic, cultural and political change.


This learning initiative is delivered as part of the EU funded multi-beneficiary program aimed at strengthening line ministries’ capacities to assess fiscal implications of structural reforms. To register for this webinar click the “Apply now’’ button on the right-hand side, or click here. You will be redirected to the CEF Online Learning Campus, where you need to click the “Enroll’’ button under the title of this webinar.

Funded by the European Union